Bruno Lopes vs Roland Dunlap
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach79"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
011 MMA TeamTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Bruno Lopes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Roland Dunlap carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-17→ 1614
If they win+26→ 1633
If they lose-22→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno LopesRoland Dunlap
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roland Dunlap71%
Bruno Lopes 29%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Roland Dunlap a 71% favorite over Bruno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruno Lopes's way (47%).
Bruno Lopes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1607, a 24-point edge.
Bruno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Roland Dunlap 57%.
Roland Dunlap carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.