Bruno Pudins vs Jeferson Costa
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bruno Pudins and Jeferson Costa within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1477 vs 1478), separated by just 1 points.
Jeferson Costa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeferson Costa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record5-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight154 lbs
TeamFight Combat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1501
If they lose-24→ 1453
If they win+16→ 1494
If they lose-16→ 1462
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruno PudinsJeferson Costa