Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Cale Yarbrough

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record8-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight203 lbs
MMA MastersTeamHardcore Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Cale YarbroughNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.16
46%
Strike accuracy
27%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10
57%
Strike defense
72%
3
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bruno SantosCale Yarbrough
15001550160020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (25%)
17 (89%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bruno Santos and Cale Yarbrough within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1580), separated by just 3 points.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Cale Yarbrough 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.