Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Chris Camozzi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record27-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'3"
TBDReach76,0"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA MastersTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Chris Camozzi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Bruno Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+20→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1564
Chris CamozziNow 1664
If they win+9→ 1673
If they lose-15→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
46%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
57%
Strike defense
56%
3
Takedown avg.
0.27
38%
Takedown accuracy
19%
67%
Takedown defense
58%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Bruno SantosChris Camozzi
155016001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
8 (30%)
1 (5%)
Submission
7 (26%)
17 (89%)
Decision
12 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Camozzi70%
Bruno Santos 30%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Camozzi a 70% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Chris Camozzi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1576, a 88-point edge.

Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Chris Camozzi 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.