Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Elias Theodorou

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record19-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach75,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamKros Gym

What's at stake

Elias Theodorou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bruno Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+24→ 1600
If they lose-8→ 1568
Elias TheodorouNow 1772
If they win+8→ 1780
If they lose-24→ 1748

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
4.19
46%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
57%
Strike defense
53%
3
Takedown avg.
1.27
38%
Takedown accuracy
28%
67%
Takedown defense
59%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bruno SantosElias Theodorou
15501600165017001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (5%)
17 (89%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Theodorou84%
Bruno Santos 16%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Theodorou a 84% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Elias Theodorou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1576, a 196-point edge.

Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Elias Theodorou 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.