Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Ivan Valenzuela

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamInv1ktus Durango

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Ivan ValenzuelaNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
0
46%
Strike accuracy
0%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.60
57%
Strike defense
33%
3
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bruno SantosIvan Valenzuela
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (38%)
17 (89%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ivan Valenzuela60%
Bruno Santos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Valenzuela a 60% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1578), separated by just 2 points.

Ivan Valenzuela enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Valenzuela 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.