Bruno Santos vs Joaquin Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-5-1Record3-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
MMA MastersTeamTeam Oyama· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SantosJoaquin Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquin Garcia71%
Bruno Santos 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Garcia a 71% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1579), separated by just 3 points.
Joaquin Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Garcia 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.