Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Julian Marquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julian Marquez
us

Julian Marquez

“The Cuban Missile Crisis”

9-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1576Solid

Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record9-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Julian MarquezNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
4.85
46%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.06
57%
Strike defense
51%
3
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
53%
0.33
Submission avg.
2.57

Trajectory

Bruno SantosJulian Marquez
155016001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (33%)
17 (89%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Santos53%
Julian Marquez 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Santos a 53% favorite over Julian Marquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1576), separated by just 0 points.

Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Julian Marquez 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.