Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Krzysztof Jotko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record30-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA MastersTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Krzysztof Jotko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Bruno Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bruno SantosNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-8→ 1569
Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+6→ 1775
If they lose-18→ 1751

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
46%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
57%
Strike defense
57%
3
Takedown avg.
1.33
38%
Takedown accuracy
19%
67%
Takedown defense
82%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Bruno SantosKrzysztof Jotko
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
8 (27%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (7%)
17 (89%)
Decision
20 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko92%
Bruno Santos 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 92% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Krzysztof Jotko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1577, a 192-point edge.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.