Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Ricardo Abreu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach73,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamWand Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Ricardo AbreuNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.79
46%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.98
57%
Strike defense
68%
3
Takedown avg.
2.13
38%
Takedown accuracy
43%
67%
Takedown defense
100%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Bruno SantosRicardo Abreu
15501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (40%)
17 (89%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Abreu54%
Bruno Santos 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Abreu a 54% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruno Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1577), separated by just 0 points.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Abreu 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.