Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Ronny Markes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record23-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight245 lbs
MMA MastersTeamNova Uniao RM

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Ronny MarkesNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
46%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.43
57%
Strike defense
46%
3
Takedown avg.
3.13
38%
Takedown accuracy
40%
67%
Takedown defense
100%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Bruno SantosRonny Markes
1550160020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
9 (39%)
1 (5%)
Submission
7 (30%)
17 (89%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronny Markes52%
Bruno Santos 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronny Markes a 52% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1579), separated by just 2 points.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Ronny Markes 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.