Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs Theoren Thorn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
MMA MastersTeamKaizen MMA & Yoga

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Theoren ThornNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.33
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bruno SantosTheoren Thorn
1550160020242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (40%)
17 (89%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Theoren Thorn63%
Bruno Santos 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theoren Thorn a 63% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruno Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Theoren Thorn 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.