Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Silva vs Charles Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-2Record20-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'9"
65"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull Brothers· 1621 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamMurcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Charles Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bruno Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bruno SilvaNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-8→ 1593
Charles JohnsonNow 1706
If they win+8→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
4.54
51%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
52%
Strike defense
55%
2.01
Takedown avg.
0.47
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
67%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Bruno SilvaCharles Johnson
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
5 (33%)
Submission
4 (20%)
4 (27%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Johnson81%
Bruno Silva 19%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 81% favorite over Bruno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Charles Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1601, a 105-point edge.

Bruno Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bruno Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Charles Johnson 60%.

Bruno Silva and Charles Johnson share 1 common opponent: Joshua Van.

Charles Johnson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2025
Joshua Van
WinKO/TKO · 2024