Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Silva vs Justin Scoggins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-2Record15-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
65"Reach66,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamRevolution Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SilvaNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Justin ScogginsNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
51%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
52%
Strike defense
56%
2.01
Takedown avg.
3.42
25%
Takedown accuracy
64%
72%
Takedown defense
83%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Bruno SilvaJustin Scoggins
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
5 (33%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (27%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Silva56%
Justin Scoggins 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Silva a 56% favorite over Justin Scoggins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.

Bruno Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bruno Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Justin Scoggins 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.