Bruno Silva vs Lone’er Kavanagh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-2Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
65"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Pitbull Brothers· 1626 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Lone’er Kavanagh is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Bruno Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1611
If they lose-10→ 1587
If they win+13→ 1683
If they lose-19→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SilvaLone’er Kavanagh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lone’er Kavanagh66%
Bruno Silva 34%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Lone’er Kavanagh a 66% favorite over Bruno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Lone’er Kavanagh holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1597, a 73-point edge.
Bruno Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Bruno Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.
Bruno Silva and Lone’er Kavanagh share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson.
Lone’er Kavanagh carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.