Bruno Silva vs Lone’er Kavanagh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Lone’er Kavanagh
Elo1670GoodTale of the tape
15-9-2Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
65"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Lone’er Kavanagh is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Bruno Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1633
If they lose-10→ 1609
If they win+14→ 1684
If they lose-18→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SilvaLone’er Kavanagh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lone’er Kavanagh87%
Bruno Silva 13%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Lone’er Kavanagh a 87% favorite over Bruno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Lone’er Kavanagh holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1619, a 51-point edge.
Bruno Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bruno Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.
Bruno Silva and Lone’er Kavanagh share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson.
Lone’er Kavanagh carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.