Bruno Souza vs Chris Mecate
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record13-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
Machida TeamTeamMiura BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SouzaChris Mecate
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mecate52%
Bruno Souza 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mecate a 52% favorite over Bruno Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruno Souza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1663), separated by just 2 points.
Bruno Souza enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bruno Souza finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Chris Mecate 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.