Bruno Souza vs Lucas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record15-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Machida TeamTeamTeam Kioshi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SouzaLucas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Almeida63%
Bruno Souza 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Almeida a 63% favorite over Bruno Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruno Souza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.
Bruno Souza enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bruno Souza finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Almeida 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.