Bruno Souza vs Matt Bessette
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record25-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Machida TeamTeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SouzaMatt Bessette
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Souza70%
Matt Bessette 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Souza a 70% favorite over Matt Bessette in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1663), separated by just 3 points.
Bruno Souza enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bruno Souza finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Matt Bessette 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.