Bruno Souza vs Melsik Baghdasaryan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Machida TeamTeamGlendale Fighting Club
What's at stake
Bruno Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Melsik Baghdasaryan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1680
If they lose-18→ 1648
If they win+18→ 1642
If they lose-14→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SouzaMelsik Baghdasaryan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Souza59%
Melsik Baghdasaryan 41%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Souza a 59% favorite over Melsik Baghdasaryan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Bruno Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1624, a 42-point edge.
Bruno Souza enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bruno Souza finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Melsik Baghdasaryan 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.