Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Baker vs Elizeu Zaleski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bryan Baker
us

Bryan Baker

“The Beast”

18-6-0WelterweightCCC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record25-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Wildman Vale TudoTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryan BakerNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
52%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
46%
Strike defense
56%
0.44
Takedown avg.
0.75
50%
Takedown accuracy
21%
38%
Takedown defense
69%
0.88
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Bryan BakerElizeu Zaleski
170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
15 (60%)
3 (17%)
Submission
3 (12%)
7 (39%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Elizeu Zaleski60%
Bryan Baker 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elizeu Zaleski a 60% favorite over Bryan Baker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1699), separated by just 3 points.

Bryan Baker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bryan Baker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Elizeu Zaleski 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.