Bryan Caraway vs Gustavo Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFight Leste
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan CarawayGustavo Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo Oliveira70%
Bryan Caraway 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Oliveira a 70% favorite over Bryan Caraway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1685), separated by just 2 points.
Gustavo Oliveira enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Bryan Caraway finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Oliveira 92%.
Gustavo Oliveira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.