Bryan Caraway vs Herbeth Sousa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-0Record20-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
68,0"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamBonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan CarawayHerbeth Sousa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Herbeth Sousa71%
Bryan Caraway 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Herbeth Sousa a 71% favorite over Bryan Caraway in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bryan Caraway's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1683), separated by just 0 points.
Herbeth Sousa enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Bryan Caraway finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Herbeth Sousa 80%.
Bryan Caraway carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.