Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Caraway vs Johnny Bedford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record23-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'9"
68,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFitness Fight Factory

What's at stake

Bryan Caraway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Johnny Bedford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bryan CarawayNow 1683
If they win+9→ 1692
If they lose-15→ 1668
Johnny BedfordNow 1604
If they win+15→ 1619
If they lose-9→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.53
Sig. strikes / min
4.53
34%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.75
54%
Strike defense
63%
2.57
Takedown avg.
1.83
26%
Takedown accuracy
63%
81%
Takedown defense
63%
0.75
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bryan CarawayJohnny Bedford
16001650170020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
10 (43%)
16 (73%)
Submission
9 (39%)
4 (18%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryan Caraway72%
Johnny Bedford 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryan Caraway a 72% favorite over Johnny Bedford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Bryan Caraway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1604, a 79-point edge.

Johnny Bedford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bryan Caraway finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Bedford 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.