AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Caraway vs Pedro Munhoz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Pedro Munhoz
br

Pedro Munhoz

“The Young Punisher”

20-10-0BantamweightUFC

1683Good

Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record20-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
68,0"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryan CarawayNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Pedro MunhozNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.53
Sig. strikes / min
5.38
34%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.29
54%
Strike defense
56%
2.57
Takedown avg.
0.48
26%
Takedown accuracy
16%
81%
Takedown defense
82%
0.75
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Bryan CarawayPedro Munhoz
1700201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
16 (73%)
Submission
8 (40%)
4 (18%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Munhoz64%
Bryan Caraway 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Munhoz a 64% favorite over Bryan Caraway in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bryan Caraway's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1683), separated by just 0 points.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bryan Caraway finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Munhoz 65%.

Bryan Caraway and Pedro Munhoz share 1 common opponent: Aljamain Sterling.

Bryan Caraway carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDEC · 2016
Aljamain Sterling
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2019