Bryan Humes vs Patrick Vespaziani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
266 lbsWeight242 lbs
Knuckle UpTeamMMA Spirit
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan HumesPatrick Vespaziani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani51%
Bryan Humes 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 51% favorite over Bryan Humes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bryan Humes's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1529), separated by just 7 points.
Bryan Humes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bryan Humes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.