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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Humes vs Patrick Vespaziani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
266 lbsWeight242 lbs
Knuckle UpTeamMMA Spirit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryan HumesNow 1536
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
Patrick VespazianiNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Bryan HumesPatrick Vespaziani
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
1 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Vespaziani53%
Bryan Humes 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 53% favorite over Bryan Humes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1538), separated by just 2 points.

Bryan Humes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bryan Humes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.