Bryan Pardoe vs Leonardo Guimaraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-16-0Record15-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
203 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team CannonTeamTata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Bryan Pardoe is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Guimaraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1452
If they lose-13→ 1428
If they win+17→ 1440
If they lose-15→ 1408
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan PardoeLeonardo Guimaraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Guimaraes57%
Bryan Pardoe 43%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 57% favorite over Bryan Pardoe in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bryan Pardoe's way (47%).
Bryan Pardoe holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1441 to 1423, a 18-point edge.
Bryan Pardoe enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Bryan Pardoe finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.