Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Logan vs Cody McKenzie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record17-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce LoganNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Cody McKenzieNow 1544
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
14%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.50

Trajectory

Bryce LoganCody McKenzie
155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
1 (8%)
Submission
15 (88%)
8 (62%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryce Logan58%
Cody McKenzie 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Logan a 58% favorite over Cody McKenzie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cody McKenzie's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1544), separated by just 4 points.

Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Cody McKenzie 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.