Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Logan vs Johnny Sampaio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce LoganNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Johnny SampaioNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
9.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
9.89

Trajectory

Bryce LoganJohnny Sampaio
1550200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (67%)
8 (62%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Sampaio57%
Bryce Logan 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Sampaio a 57% favorite over Bryce Logan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bryce Logan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1546), separated by just 0 points.

Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Sampaio 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.