Bryce Logan vs Nick Hrabec
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-10-0Record11-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'2"
70"Reach77.5"
156 lbsWeight153 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamShaved Bears MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bryce LoganNick Hrabec
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryce Logan61%
Nick Hrabec 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Logan a 61% favorite over Nick Hrabec in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Hrabec's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1549), separated by just 1 points.
Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Nick Hrabec 73%.
Nick Hrabec carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.