Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Logan vs Rick Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record3-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
70"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamLas Vegas Combat Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce LoganNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Rick DavisNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.19
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bryce LoganRick Davis
155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (62%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Rick Davis60%
Bryce Logan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rick Davis a 60% favorite over Bryce Logan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1548), separated by just 2 points.

Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Rick Davis 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.