Bryce Logan vs Shamar Bailey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-10-0Record16-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamSparta Indy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
If they win+12→ 1562
If they lose-12→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bryce LoganShamar Bailey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryce Logan63%
Shamar Bailey 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Logan a 63% favorite over Shamar Bailey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamar Bailey's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1550), separated by just 2 points.
Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Shamar Bailey enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Shamar Bailey 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.