Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Meredith vs Dean Garnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record15-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68.5"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam McHale

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce MeredithNow 1625
If they win+24→ 1649
If they lose-24→ 1601
Dean GarnettNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bryce MeredithDean Garnett
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
3 (43%)
Submission
6 (40%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dean Garnett53%
Bryce Meredith 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dean Garnett a 53% favorite over Bryce Meredith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Bryce Meredith finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Dean Garnett 67%.

Bryce Meredith carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.