Bubba Bush vs Kevin Casey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record9-6-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach77,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazos Valley MMATeamBlack House
What's at stake
Bubba Bush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kevin Casey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1624
If they lose-18→ 1592
If they win+18→ 1581
If they lose-14→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bubba BushKevin Casey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bubba Bush and Kevin Casey within a point of even.
Bubba Bush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1610 to 1563, a 47-point edge.
Bubba Bush finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Casey 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.