Combat Edge Intelligence

Bubba Bush vs Kevin Casey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Bubba Bush
us

Bubba Bush

“The Fightin' Texas Aggie”

8-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record9-6-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach77,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazos Valley MMATeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bubba BushNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Kevin CaseyNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.63
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
56%
Strike accuracy
54%
7.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.76
26%
Strike defense
46%
2.82
Takedown avg.
0.79
50%
Takedown accuracy
22%
60%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Bubba BushKevin Casey
15501600165020132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
3 (38%)
Submission
3 (33%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Bubba Bush61%
Kevin Casey 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bubba Bush a 61% favorite over Kevin Casey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1579), separated by just 10 points.

Bubba Bush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bubba Bush finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Casey 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.