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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bubba McDaniel vs Gilbert Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Bubba McDaniel
us

Bubba McDaniel

“The Menace”

31-10-0Light HeavyweightECF

1545Average
Gilbert Smith
us

Gilbert Smith

“Chocolate Thunder”

13-6-0WelterweightLFA

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

31-10-0Record13-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
204 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

Gilbert Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Bubba McDaniel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bubba McDanielNow 1545
If they win+19→ 1564
If they lose-13→ 1532
Gilbert SmithNow 1612
If they win+13→ 1625
If they lose-19→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.64
Sig. strikes / min
1.09
44%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.73
57%
Strike defense
35%
0.93
Takedown avg.
3.51
50%
Takedown accuracy
60%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
1.39
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Bubba McDanielGilbert Smith
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

10 (32%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
19 (61%)
Submission
8 (62%)
2 (6%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bubba McDaniel and Gilbert Smith within a point of even.

Gilbert Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1545, a 67-point edge.

Bubba McDaniel finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Smith 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.