Combat Edge Intelligence

Bubba McDaniel vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bubba McDaniel
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Bubba McDaniel

“The Menace”

31-10-0Light HeavyweightECF

1545Average

Tale of the tape

31-10-0Record7-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
204 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamW Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bubba McDanielNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.64
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.93
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.39
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bubba McDanielRômulo Oliveira
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (32%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
19 (61%)
Submission
1 (14%)
2 (6%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rômulo Oliveira63%
Bubba McDaniel 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rômulo Oliveira a 63% favorite over Bubba McDaniel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1549), separated by just 4 points.

Bubba McDaniel finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.