Bubba McDaniel vs Sean Strickland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-10-0Record31-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
204 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Bubba McDaniel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1572
If they lose-5→ 1540
If they win+4→ 1827
If they lose-20→ 1803
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bubba McDanielSean Strickland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Strickland88%
Bubba McDaniel 12%Elo baseline: 83%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 88% favorite over Bubba McDaniel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (83%).
Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1545, a 278-point edge.
Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bubba McDaniel finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.