Cássio Barão vs Kevin Pease
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-1Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dyogo Teles MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Kevin Pease is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Cássio Barão carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1659
If they lose-14→ 1627
If they win+22→ 1699
If they lose-26→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cássio BarãoKevin Pease
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Pease65%
Cássio Barão 35%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Pease a 65% favorite over Cássio Barão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Kevin Pease holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1677 to 1641, a 36-point edge.
Cássio Barão enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kevin Pease enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Cássio Barão finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Pease 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.