César Almeida vs Ozzy Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
74"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Lotus MMATeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
César AlmeidaOzzy Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting César Almeida and Ozzy Diaz within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.
César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ozzy Diaz 90%.
Ozzy Diaz carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.