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Combat Edge Intelligence

César Almeida vs Steve Cantwell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record7-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

César AlmeidaNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Steve CantwellNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.46
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
59%
Strike accuracy
35%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.76
46%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
0.65
0%
Takedown accuracy
31%
52%
Takedown defense
81%
0.21
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

César AlmeidaSteve Cantwell
16001650170020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (57%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting César Almeida and Steve Cantwell within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.

César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Steve Cantwell enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Steve Cantwell 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.