César Almeida vs Steve Cantwell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record7-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
César AlmeidaSteve Cantwell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
César Almeida63%
Steve Cantwell 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes César Almeida a 63% favorite over Steve Cantwell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steve Cantwell's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.
César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Steve Cantwell enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Steve Cantwell 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.