Combat Edge Intelligence

C.J. Keith vs Ramsey Nijem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record10-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamSkrap Pack

What's at stake

Ramsey Nijem is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — C.J. Keith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

C.J. KeithNow 1452
If they win+28→ 1480
If they lose-20→ 1432
Ramsey NijemNow 1517
If they win+13→ 1530
If they lose-19→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.05
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
50%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
5.32
0%
Takedown accuracy
63%
63%
Takedown defense
56%
0
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

C.J. KeithRamsey Nijem
14501500201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (20%)
3 (38%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ramsey Nijem64%
C.J. Keith 36%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Ramsey Nijem a 64% favorite over C.J. Keith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Ramsey Nijem holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1517 to 1452, a 65-point edge.

C.J. Keith enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ramsey Nijem enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

C.J. Keith finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ramsey Nijem 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.