Caden Cox vs Elvis Silva
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Elvis Silva56%
Caden Cox 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Elvis Silva a 56% favorite over Caden Cox in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1526), separated by just 2 points.
Elvis Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elvis Silva 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record15-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'6"
70.9"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight136 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamAssociacao Bushido de Karate
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1548
If they lose-24→ 1500
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caden CoxElvis Silva