Cain Carrizosa vs Chris Wade
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record23-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach70,0"
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
Elite TeamTeamEast Islip Kickboxing
What's at stake
Chris Wade is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Cain Carrizosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1586
If they lose-10→ 1554
If they win+8→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cain CarrizosaChris Wade
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Wade72%
Cain Carrizosa 28%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Wade a 72% favorite over Cain Carrizosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Chris Wade holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1564, a 127-point edge.
Cain Carrizosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Wade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cain Carrizosa finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Chris Wade 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.