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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cain Carrizosa vs Patrik Šebek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cain CarrizosaNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Patrik ŠebekNow 1565
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
14%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cain CarrizosaPatrik Šebek
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
3 (27%)
Submission
2 (50%)
5 (45%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cain Carrizosa and Patrik Šebek within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1565), separated by just 1 points.

Cain Carrizosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cain Carrizosa finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Šebek 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.