Cain Velasquez vs Denis Stojnic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record16-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
241 lbsWeight282 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamGolden Glory
What's at stake
Cain Velasquez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Denis Stojnic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1752
If they lose-17→ 1720
If they win+17→ 1727
If they lose-15→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cain VelasquezDenis Stojnic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cain Velasquez70%
Denis Stojnic 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Cain Velasquez a 70% favorite over Denis Stojnic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Cain Velasquez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1710, a 27-point edge.
Denis Stojnic enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Cain Velasquez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Denis Stojnic 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.