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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cain Velasquez vs Rizvan Kuniev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record14-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
77"Reach76"
241 lbsWeight250 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGorets Fight Club· 1721 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cain VelasquezNow 1736
If they win+16→ 1752
If they lose-16→ 1720
Rizvan KunievNow 1739
If they win+16→ 1755
If they lose-16→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
58%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
57%
Strike defense
49%
5.13
Takedown avg.
0.79
45%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
94%
0.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cain VelasquezRizvan Kuniev
170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (86%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (15%)
2 (14%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Rizvan Kuniev57%
Cain Velasquez 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rizvan Kuniev a 57% favorite over Cain Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1739), separated by just 3 points.

Rizvan Kuniev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cain Velasquez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rizvan Kuniev 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.