Combat Edge Intelligence

Cain Velasquez vs Salamu Abdurakhmanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record19-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach-
241 lbsWeight207 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cain VelasquezNow 1737
If they win+16→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1721
Salamu AbdurakhmanovNow 1736
If they win+16→ 1752
If they lose-16→ 1720

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
58%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
5.13
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.38
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cain VelasquezSalamu Abdurakhmanov
170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (86%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (37%)
2 (14%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Salamu Abdurakhmanov72%
Cain Velasquez 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Salamu Abdurakhmanov a 72% favorite over Cain Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cain Velasquez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1737 vs 1736), separated by just 1 points.

Salamu Abdurakhmanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Cain Velasquez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Salamu Abdurakhmanov 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.