Cain Velasquez vs Shamil Gaziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach78"
241 lbsWeight261 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1686 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1752
If they lose-16→ 1720
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cain VelasquezShamil Gaziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Gaziev59%
Cain Velasquez 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gaziev a 59% favorite over Cain Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cain Velasquez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1729), separated by just 7 points.
Cain Velasquez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gaziev 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.