Combat Edge Intelligence

Cain Velasquez vs Travis Browne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record18-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'7"
77"Reach79,0"
241 lbsWeight244 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

Cain Velasquez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Travis Browne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cain VelasquezNow 1737
If they win+14→ 1751
If they lose-18→ 1719
Travis BrowneNow 1696
If they win+13→ 1709
If they lose-11→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.37
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
58%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
57%
Strike defense
43%
5.13
Takedown avg.
1.21
45%
Takedown accuracy
69%
86%
Takedown defense
75%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Cain VelasquezTravis Browne
1700175020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

12 (86%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (11%)
2 (14%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Cain Velasquez72%
Travis Browne 28%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Cain Velasquez a 72% favorite over Travis Browne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Cain Velasquez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1696, a 41-point edge.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cain Velasquez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Travis Browne 89%.

Cain Velasquez and Travis Browne share 1 common opponent: Fabrício Werdum.

Travis Browne carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossGuillotine Choke · 2015
Fabrício Werdum
LossDEC · 2016
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2014