Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Bittencourt vs Cory Hendricks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-11-0Record9-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Roxo Strike TeamTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caio BittencourtNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Cory HendricksNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Caio BittencourtCory Hendricks
150015501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (78%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
4 (22%)
Submission
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Bittencourt75%
Cory Hendricks 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Bittencourt a 75% favorite over Cory Hendricks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Cory Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Caio Bittencourt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Cory Hendricks 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.